PULMONARY RISK ASSESSMENT
ARISCAT Score | OSA Management | COPD Optimization | Postoperative Pulmonary Complications
ARISCAT RISK STRATIFICATION
Critical Must-Knows
- ARISCAT score predicts postoperative pulmonary complications - seven risk factors including age, SpO2, respiratory infection
- OSA affects 24% of surgical patients - STOP-BANG greater than 5 requires CPAP continuation perioperatively
- Smoking cessation under 4 weeks may worsen outcomes - minimum 4 weeks required for pulmonary benefit
- PFTs rarely change management in asymptomatic patients - reserve for moderate-severe COPD or unexplained dyspnea
- Neuraxial anesthesia reduces pulmonary complications by 30% compared to general anesthesia in lower limb surgery
Examiner's Pearls
- "ARISCAT includes: age, SpO2 under 96%, respiratory infection in last month, preop anemia, upper abdominal/thoracic surgery, duration over 2 hours, emergency procedure
- "STOP-BANG: Snoring, Tired, Observed apnea, Pressure (BP), BMI over 35, Age over 50, Neck over 40cm, Gender male - score 5-8 = high OSA risk
- "FEV1 under 50% predicted or FEV1/FVC under 0.7 indicates moderate-severe COPD needing optimization
- "Continue CPAP perioperatively for known OSA - reduces atelectasis and hypoxemia
Critical Pulmonary Risk Assessment Exam Points
ARISCAT Score
Gold standard for pulmonary risk prediction. Seven factors: age over 50 (3-16 points), SpO2 under 96% (8 points), respiratory infection in last month (17 points), preop anemia Hb under 100 (11 points), upper abdominal/thoracic surgery (15 points), duration over 2h (16 points), emergency (8 points). Score over 44 = high risk (42% complication rate).
OSA Screening and Management
STOP-BANG over 5 = high OSA risk. Continue CPAP/BiPAP perioperatively. Avoid opioids in PACU. Neuraxial preferred over general anesthesia. Semiupright positioning. Extended monitoring 24-48h. Undiagnosed OSA major cause of postop respiratory failure.
COPD Optimization
Optimize 4-6 weeks before surgery. Bronchodilators, inhaled corticosteroids if FEV1 under 60%. Smoking cessation minimum 4 weeks. Antibiotics if acute exacerbation. Physiotherapy and incentive spirometry. Delay surgery if active infection or poorly controlled.
PFT Indications
PFTs rarely change management unless moderate-severe COPD (FEV1 under 60%), unexplained dyspnea, or lung resection planned. Do NOT order routinely. Clinical assessment (exercise tolerance, symptoms) more predictive than spirometry for elective orthopaedics.
At a Glance
The ARISCAT score is the gold standard for predicting postoperative pulmonary complications, incorporating seven factors: age, SpO₂ less than 96%, respiratory infection in last month, preoperative anemia, upper abdominal/thoracic surgery, duration greater than 2 hours, and emergency procedure. Scores greater than 44 indicate high risk (42% complication rate). OSA affects 24% of surgical patients; STOP-BANG greater than 5 indicates high risk requiring perioperative CPAP continuation. Smoking cessation requires minimum 4 weeks for pulmonary benefit—cessation less than 4 weeks may paradoxically worsen outcomes due to increased secretions. PFTs rarely change management in asymptomatic patients—reserve for moderate-severe COPD (FEV1 less than 60%) or unexplained dyspnea. Neuraxial anesthesia reduces pulmonary complications by 30% compared to general anesthesia in lower limb surgery.
ASTHMA RARISCAT Risk Score - 7 Predictors
Memory Hook:Patients with ASTHMA R factors need enhanced pulmonary care! Score under 26 = low risk, 26-44 = intermediate, over 44 = high risk.
STOP-BANGSTOP-BANG Score for OSA Screening
Memory Hook:Use STOP-BANG to catch OSA before they crash! Score 0-2 = low risk, 3-4 = intermediate, 5-8 = high risk. High risk needs CPAP perioperatively.
PRAPSPostoperative Pulmonary Complications
Memory Hook:Watch for PRAPS after surgery - these pulmonary complications kill! Early mobilization and physiotherapy prevent most.
Overview and Core Principles
Why Pulmonary Risk Assessment Matters
Postoperative pulmonary complications (PPCs) are a leading cause of perioperative morbidity and mortality, particularly in orthopaedic surgery where patients are often elderly with multiple comorbidities. PPCs include pneumonia, respiratory failure, atelectasis, bronchospasm, and pleural effusion. These complications:
- Occur in 2-5% of elective orthopaedic procedures, 10-40% in high-risk patients
- Increase 30-day mortality by 2-20 fold depending on severity
- Prolong hospital stay by 5-10 days on average
- Cost an additional $20,000-50,000 per episode
- Are largely preventable through systematic risk assessment and optimization
The goals of pulmonary risk assessment are to: (1) identify high-risk patients requiring enhanced monitoring and intervention, (2) optimize modifiable risk factors before surgery, (3) guide anesthetic technique selection (neuraxial vs general), and (4) inform postoperative care planning (ward vs HDU/ICU).
Risk Stratification Tools
- ARISCAT score: validated PPC prediction (most widely used)
- AROZULLAR score: respiratory failure prediction
- STOP-BANG: OSA screening (8-item questionnaire)
- Gupta MICA: myocardial infarction or cardiac arrest
- Clinical assessment: exercise tolerance most predictive
Modifiable Risk Factors
- Smoking cessation: minimum 4 weeks preoperatively
- COPD optimization: bronchodilators, steroids if FEV1 under 60%
- Weight loss: BMI reduction if over 40
- Respiratory infections: delay surgery 4-6 weeks after infection
- OSA management: CPAP continuation perioperatively
ARISCAT Risk Score
ARISCAT Components and Calculation
The Assess Respiratory Risk in Surgical Patients in Catalonia (ARISCAT) score is the most validated tool for predicting postoperative pulmonary complications. Developed from a multicenter cohort of 2,464 patients undergoing noncardiac surgery, it identifies seven independent risk factors.
ARISCAT Score Components and Point Values
| Risk Factor | Category | Points | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age | Under 50 / 50-80 / Over 80 | 0 / 3 / 16 | Decreased respiratory reserve, comorbidities |
| Preoperative SpO2 | Over 96% / 91-95% / Under 90% | 0 / 8 / 24 | Baseline hypoxemia indicates lung disease |
| Respiratory infection in last month | No / Yes | 0 / 17 | Residual inflammation and secretions |
| Preoperative anemia | Hb over 100 / Hb under 100 g/L | 0 / 11 | Impaired oxygen delivery to tissues |
| Surgical incision | Peripheral / Upper abdominal or thoracic | 0 / 15 | Proximity to diaphragm impairs ventilation |
| Duration of surgery | Under 2h / 2-3h / Over 3h | 0 / 16 / 23 | Prolonged anesthesia and atelectasis |
| Emergency procedure | No / Yes | 0 / 8 | No time for optimization |
ARISCAT Risk Stratification
Management: Standard perioperative care. Early mobilization. Incentive spirometry encouraged but not mandatory. Ward-level monitoring sufficient. Routine physiotherapy.
Management: Enhanced respiratory care bundle. Mandatory incentive spirometry Q2H while awake. Chest physiotherapy twice daily. Consider neuraxial anesthesia if appropriate. Aggressive early mobilization. Extended monitoring (telemetry). Avoid excessive opioids.
Management: Plan HDU or ICU bed. Respiratory therapist involvement. Consider neuraxial vs general anesthesia (neuraxial reduces PPC 30%). CPAP/BiPAP if OSA or respiratory failure risk. Minimize opioids - multimodal analgesia. Daily CXR if deteriorating. Low threshold for respiratory support.
ARISCAT Validation and Limitations
Validation: ARISCAT was validated in a separate cohort of 1,004 patients with excellent discrimination (AUC 0.82). It predicts pneumonia, respiratory failure, bronchospasm, atelectasis, and pleural effusion. Limitations: Developed for general surgery - may overestimate risk in peripheral orthopaedic procedures (TKA, THA). Does not include OSA or COPD severity. Clinical judgment remains essential - score guides but does not replace assessment.
Obstructive Sleep Apnea Assessment
STOP-BANG Questionnaire
Obstructive sleep apnea (OSA) affects 24% of men and 9% of women in the surgical population, with 80-90% undiagnosed. Untreated OSA increases perioperative complications including respiratory failure (2-3x risk), cardiac events, and ICU admission. The STOP-BANG questionnaire is the validated screening tool.
STOP-BANG Interpretation
| Score | OSA Risk | Sensitivity | Perioperative Management |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0-2 | Low risk | 84% for moderate-severe OSA | Standard care, monitor O2 saturation 24h |
| 3-4 | Intermediate risk | 93% for moderate OSA | Extended monitoring, avoid opioids, semiupright positioning |
| 5-8 | High risk | 100% for severe OSA | Continue CPAP, consider autotitration, neuraxial preferred, HDU/ICU if general |
STOP-BANG Questionnaire Details
The 8 Questions (Yes = 1 point each):
- Snoring: Do you snore loudly (louder than talking or heard through closed door)?
- Tired: Do you often feel tired, fatigued, or sleepy during daytime?
- Observed apnea: Has anyone observed you stop breathing during sleep?
- Pressure: Do you have or are you being treated for high blood pressure?
- BMI: Is your BMI greater than 35 kg/m�?
- Age: Are you older than 50 years?
- Neck: Is your neck circumference greater than 40 cm (measure at cricothyroid level)?
- Gender: Are you male?
Scoring: Add 1 point for each "yes" answer. Total score 0-8.
When to Order Sleep Study
Do NOT delay elective surgery for sleep study if patient screens positive but no known OSA. Proceed with empiric CPAP/BiPAP in PACU and postop. Sleep study takes 4-12 weeks and rarely changes perioperative management. Exception: patients with severe cardiopulmonary disease where diagnosis changes surgical candidacy.
This approach ensures patient safety without unnecessary surgical delays.
COPD Optimization
Assessment and Severity Staging
Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) affects 10-15% of patients over 65 undergoing orthopaedic surgery. COPD increases postoperative pulmonary complications 2-5 fold, particularly pneumonia and respiratory failure. Severity stratification guides optimization.
COPD Severity by Spirometry (GOLD Classification)
| GOLD Stage | FEV1 % Predicted | FEV1/FVC | Perioperative Implications |
|---|---|---|---|
| GOLD 1 - Mild | FEV1 over 80% | Under 0.70 | Low risk - standard care, smoking cessation |
| GOLD 2 - Moderate | FEV1 50-79% | Under 0.70 | Optimize bronchodilators, consider ICS, physiotherapy |
| GOLD 3 - Severe | FEV1 30-49% | Under 0.70 | High risk - pulmonology consult, aggressive optimization, HDU plan |
| GOLD 4 - Very Severe | FEV1 under 30% | Under 0.70 | Very high risk - consider candidacy, ICU plan, respiratory support |
4-6 Week COPD Optimization Protocol
Bronchodilator Therapy
Ensure adequate bronchodilation:
- Short-acting: Salbutamol PRN (rescue inhaler)
- Long-acting: Tiotropium (LAMA) daily if FEV1 under 60%
- Combination: LABA/LAMA if symptomatic despite single agent
- Inhaler technique: Verify correct use (common error)
- Start 4-6 weeks pre-op for maximal benefit
Inhaled Corticosteroids
Add ICS if frequent exacerbations:
- Indicated if FEV1 under 60% AND 2+ exacerbations/year
- Reduces inflammation and exacerbation frequency
- Combination LABA/ICS (e.g., fluticasone/salmeterol)
- NOT indicated for stable COPD without exacerbations
- Continue through perioperative period
Smoking Cessation
Minimum 4 weeks essential:
- Under 4 weeks may worsen sputum production
- 4 weeks: improved mucociliary clearance
- 8 weeks: maximal pulmonary benefit
- Nicotine replacement, varenicline, Quitline 13 7848
- Document pack-year history
Pulmonary Rehabilitation
Physiotherapy and exercise:
- Incentive spirometry training (start pre-op)
- Breathing exercises and pursed-lip breathing
- Ambulation and exercise tolerance building
- Secretion clearance techniques
- Continue daily postoperatively
Acute Exacerbation Management
Delay elective surgery 4-6 weeks after COPD exacerbation. Active exacerbation dramatically increases PPC risk (pneumonia 10-20%, respiratory failure 5-10%). Optimize with antibiotics if purulent sputum, oral prednisolone 30-40mg daily for 5-7 days, increased bronchodilators. Confirm return to baseline symptoms and spirometry before proceeding.
This optimization protocol reduces postoperative pulmonary complications in COPD patients by 40-50%.
Postoperative Pulmonary Complications
Types and Prevention Strategies
Postoperative Pulmonary Complications
| Complication | Incidence | Risk Factors | Prevention Strategy |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atelectasis | 10-40% (most common) | Prolonged supine, opioids, obesity, upper abdominal surgery | Early mobilization, incentive spirometry, minimize opioids |
| Pneumonia | 2-5% elective, 10-20% emergency | Age over 70, COPD, aspiration risk, prolonged intubation | Smoking cessation 4 weeks, head-up positioning, oral hygiene |
| Respiratory Failure | 1-3% (requires reintubation or NIV) | OSA, obesity, COPD, excessive opioids, prolonged surgery | CPAP for OSA, neuraxial anesthesia, multimodal analgesia |
| Bronchospasm | 2-10% in COPD/asthma | Active asthma, COPD exacerbation, aspiration | Optimize bronchodilators pre-op, avoid triggers (cold air, aspiration) |
| Pleural Effusion | 5-15% (small effusions common) | Heart failure, hypoalbuminemia, fluid overload | Judicious fluid management, diuresis if CHF, correct albumin |
Prevention Bundle Timeline
Optimization: Smoking cessation minimum 4 weeks. COPD bronchodilator optimization. OSA CPAP compliance. Weight loss if BMI over 40. Treat respiratory infections (delay 4-6 weeks if acute). Incentive spirometry training.
Lung-protective strategies: Tidal volume 6-8 mL/kg ideal body weight. PEEP 5-8 cmH2O. Recruitment maneuvers if atelectasis. FiO2 titrate to SpO2 92-96% (avoid hyperoxia). Minimize airway pressures. Extubate fully awake.
Immediate recovery: Semiupright positioning (30-45 degrees). Supplemental O2 to SpO2 over 92%. CPAP if OSA or respiratory depression. Early incentive spirometry. Multimodal analgesia to minimize opioids. Monitor respiratory rate and effort.
Enhanced recovery: Incentive spirometry 10 breaths Q2H while awake. Early mobilization (out of bed within 24h). Physiotherapy twice daily. Minimize opioids - regional blocks preferred. Continuous pulse oximetry if high risk. CXR only if symptomatic.
Pneumonia Prevention
Postoperative pneumonia has 20-30% mortality in elderly orthopaedic patients. Prevention is critical: (1) Smoking cessation 4+ weeks pre-op reduces pneumonia 50%, (2) Head-up positioning 30 degrees reduces aspiration, (3) Early mobilization (out of bed within 24h) improves secretion clearance, (4) Incentive spirometry 10 breaths every 2 hours prevents atelectasis, (5) Oral hygiene (chlorhexidine mouthwash) reduces bacterial load. If pneumonia develops: prompt antibiotics per eTG guidelines, respiratory physiotherapy, consider bronchoscopy if lobar collapse.
Anesthetic Technique Considerations
Neuraxial vs General Anesthesia
Anesthetic Technique and Pulmonary Outcomes
| Technique | PPC Risk | Advantages | Disadvantages |
|---|---|---|---|
| Neuraxial (spinal/epidural) | Baseline (reference) | 30% PPC reduction, preserved airway reflexes, early mobilization, less opioids | Sympathetic block (hypotension), limited to lower limb/hip, anticoagulation concerns |
| General anesthesia | 1.3x higher PPC | Suitable for any surgery, airway control, no anticoagulation issues | Atelectasis, ventilator dependence, opioids, delayed mobilization |
| Combined (GA + regional block) | Similar to neuraxial | Optimal surgical conditions, reduced GA depth, multimodal analgesia | Complexity, time, requires both skill sets |
When to Prefer Neuraxial
- High pulmonary risk (ARISCAT over 44)
- Severe OSA (STOP-BANG 7-8)
- Moderate-severe COPD (FEV1 under 50%)
- Lower limb surgery (TKA, THA, femur fracture)
- Obesity (BMI over 40)
- Patient preference for awake surgery
When General Anesthesia Needed
- Upper limb or spine surgery (not amenable to neuraxial)
- Patient refusal of neuraxial
- Anticoagulation preventing neuraxial (recent DOAC/LMWH)
- Hemodynamic instability (severe AS, dehydration)
- Infection at injection site
- Coagulopathy or platelets under 70
Neuraxial PPC Reduction Mechanism
Why does neuraxial reduce PPCs by 30%? Four mechanisms: (1) Preserved airway reflexes and spontaneous ventilation (no intubation trauma, no positive pressure atelectasis), (2) Superior analgesia reduces splinting and allows deep breathing/cough, (3) Reduced opioid requirements minimize respiratory depression, (4) Earlier mobilization improves secretion clearance. Meta-analysis of 141 trials shows neuraxial reduces pneumonia OR 0.55 and respiratory failure OR 0.59 compared to general anesthesia.
Evidence Base and Key Trials
ARISCAT Score Derivation and Validation
- Multicenter prospective cohort of 2,464 patients undergoing noncardiac surgery
- Identified 7 independent predictors of postoperative pulmonary complications
- Risk stratification: low (under 26) = 1.6%, intermediate (26-44) = 13.3%, high (over 44) = 42.1% PPC rate
- Validated in separate cohort of 1,004 patients - AUC 0.82 (excellent discrimination)
STOP-BANG Validation for OSA Screening
- Validation study of 746 surgical patients undergoing polysomnography
- STOP-BANG score 3+ has 84% sensitivity and 56% specificity for moderate-severe OSA
- High sensitivity (93-100%) makes it excellent screening tool - low false negative rate
- Score 5-8 identifies high-risk patients requiring enhanced perioperative monitoring
Smoking Cessation and Pulmonary Complications
- Systematic review of 25 studies on smoking cessation timing and postoperative complications
- Cessation under 4 weeks may increase sputum production and early complications
- Minimum 4 weeks cessation reduces pulmonary complications by 23%
- 8 weeks cessation optimal - reduces complications by 50-60%
Neuraxial vs General Anesthesia and Pulmonary Outcomes
- Meta-analysis of 141 randomized trials (9,044 participants)
- Neuraxial anesthesia reduced pneumonia (OR 0.55) and respiratory depression (OR 0.59)
- 30% relative risk reduction in overall pulmonary complications
- Benefit greatest in high-risk patients (elderly, COPD, OSA)
Exam Viva Scenarios
Practice these scenarios to excel in your viva examination
Scenario 1: High ARISCAT Score Patient
"72-year-old male for urgent hip fracture fixation. COPD (FEV1 45%), SpO2 93% on room air, smoker 60 pack-years, Hb 95 g/L. Calculate ARISCAT score and discuss perioperative pulmonary management."
Scenario 2: Undiagnosed OSA Screening
"58-year-old obese male (BMI 42) for elective TKA. Wife reports loud snoring and witnessed apneas. STOP-BANG score 7. No sleep study. How do you proceed?"
Scenario 3: PFT Interpretation and COPD Optimization
"65-year-old female for elective THA. Known COPD, current smoker 40 pack-years. Recent PFTs: FEV1 48% predicted, FEV1/FVC 0.58. On salbutamol PRN only. Surgery in 6 weeks. Your optimization plan?"
MCQ Practice Points
ARISCAT High Risk Threshold
Q: What ARISCAT score indicates high risk for postoperative pulmonary complications? A: Score greater than 44 indicates high risk with 42% predicted complication rate. Requires enhanced respiratory care including HDU monitoring, physiotherapy, incentive spirometry, and consideration of neuraxial vs general anesthesia.
STOP-BANG OSA Screening
Q: A patient scores 6 on STOP-BANG questionnaire. What is the appropriate management? A: High OSA risk (score 5-8) requires empiric perioperative CPAP, continuous pulse oximetry 24-48 hours, avoid opioids, neuraxial anesthesia preferred. Do NOT delay surgery for sleep study in most cases.
Smoking Cessation Timing
Q: What is the minimum smoking cessation duration to reduce postoperative pulmonary complications? A: 4 weeks minimum. Cessation under 4 weeks may paradoxically increase complications due to increased sputum production. Optimal benefit at 8 weeks (50-60% reduction).
PFT Indications
Q: When are PFTs indicated before elective orthopaedic surgery? A: Moderate-severe COPD without recent spirometry, unexplained dyspnea, or smoking over 40 pack-years with symptoms. NOT indicated routinely - exercise tolerance is more predictive than spirometry.
Australian Context and Guidelines
ANZCA Guidelines: PS06 (perioperative care of patients with OSA), PS07 (pre-anesthesia consultation and patient preparation). Recommend STOP-BANG screening for all surgical patients.
Australian Resources:
- Quitline 13 7848 for smoking cessation support (free counseling and nicotine replacement)
- PBS coverage for smoking cessation medications (varenicline, nicotine replacement)
- COPD-X Plan (Australian and New Zealand guidelines for COPD management)
- Sleep Health Foundation resources for OSA patient education
eTG Guidelines: Therapeutic Guidelines Respiratory (version 6) - COPD optimization, bronchodilator therapy, antibiotic selection for exacerbations.
Medicolegal Considerations:
- Document pulmonary risk assessment (ARISCAT, STOP-BANG) in preoperative note
- Informed consent must include pulmonary complication risks (quote patient-specific risk)
- OSA screening and management plan essential - unrecognized OSA major litigation source
- If patient refuses optimization (smoking cessation, CPAP), document risks discussed
- Common claims: respiratory arrest in unrecognized OSA, pneumonia from failure to optimize COPD, opioid overdose in OSA patient
Management Algorithm

PULMONARY RISK ASSESSMENT
High-Yield Exam Summary
ARISCAT Score (7 Predictors)
- •Age: under 50 (0), 50-80 (3), over 80 (16 points)
- •SpO2: over 96% (0), 91-95% (8), under 90% (24 points)
- •Respiratory infection last month (17 points)
- •Anemia Hb under 100 g/L (11 points)
- •Upper abdominal/thoracic surgery (15 points)
- •Duration 2-3h (16), over 3h (23 points)
- •Emergency procedure (8 points)
- •Score: under 26 low (1.6%), 26-44 intermediate (13.3%), over 44 high risk (42.1%)
STOP-BANG for OSA
- •Snoring, Tired, Observed apnea, Pressure (HTN), BMI over 35, Age over 50, Neck over 40cm, Gender male
- •Score 0-2 = low risk, 3-4 = intermediate, 5-8 = high OSA risk
- •High risk: continue CPAP periop, avoid opioids, neuraxial preferred, HDU monitoring
- •Do NOT delay surgery for sleep study - empiric CPAP treatment
COPD Optimization (4-6 Weeks)
- •Smoking cessation minimum 4 weeks (50% PPC reduction at 8 weeks)
- •Bronchodilators: LAMA (tiotropium) if FEV1 under 60%
- •ICS: add if FEV1 under 60% AND 2+ exacerbations/year
- •Delay surgery 4-6 weeks after acute exacerbation
- •Physiotherapy: incentive spirometry, breathing exercises
- •FEV1 under 50% = severe COPD, high risk, HDU planning
PFT Indications
- •Moderate-severe COPD without recent spirometry (over 6 months old)
- •Unexplained dyspnea disproportionate to comorbidities
- •Smoking over 40 pack-years with symptoms (cough, sputum, wheeze)
- •Do NOT order routinely - exercise tolerance more predictive
- •Obstruction: FEV1/FVC under 0.70 confirms COPD
Postoperative PPC Prevention
- •Incentive spirometry 10 breaths Q2H while awake
- •Early mobilization - out of bed within 24 hours
- •Physiotherapy twice daily for secretion clearance
- •Multimodal analgesia - minimize opioids (regional blocks)
- •Semiupright positioning 30-45 degrees (reduces aspiration)
- •CPAP/BiPAP for OSA or respiratory failure risk